113% DA-DR from January, 2015 confirmed after November, 2014 AICPIN
Expected
DA/DR is now entered in 2nd last step. All India Consumer Price
Index Number (AICPIN) for Industrial Worker is remained stationery at
253 (two hundred and fifty three) for the month of November, 2014.
Estimation of 113% with 6% increase in expected DA/DR for Central Govt
Employees/Pensioner is also stationery as previous month November-2014.
CPI-IW for next two months is yet to be announced. Following table
showing that estimation of 113% is constant with 9 points’ increase in
CPI-IW index and with 5 point decline in next month speculate 112% of
future DA/DR. Therefore it is mostly confirm that 6% increase in future DA/DR for Central Government.
Employees/Pensioner. See the table of Expected DA/DR given below:
Expectation | Increase/ Decrease Index | Month | Base Year 2001 100 | Total of 12Months | Twelve monthly Average | % increase over 115.76for DA | DA announced or will be announced |
-4 | Dec,13 | 239 | 2786 | 232.17 | 100.56% | 100% | |
DA/DR fromJuly, 2014 | -2 | Jan,14 | 237 | 2802 | 233.5 | 101.71% | 107% |
1 | Feb,14 | 238 | 2817 | 234.75 | 102.79% | ||
1 | Mar,14 | 239 | 2832 | 236 | 103.87% | ||
3 | Apr,14 | 242 | 2848 | 237.33 | 105.02% | ||
2 | May,14 | 244 | 2864 | 238.67 | 106.17% | ||
2 | Jun,14 | 246 | 2879 | 239.92 | 107.25% | ||
JUL+AICPIN | 6 | Jul,14 | 252 | 2896 | 241.33 | 108.48% | 113% |
Aug+AICPIN | 1 | Aug,14 | 253 | 2912 | 242.67 | 109.63% | |
Sep+AICPIN | 0 | Sep,14 | 253 | 2927 | 243.92 | 110.71% | |
Oct+AICPIN | 0 | Oct,14 | 253 | 2939 | 244.92 | 111.57% | |
Nov+AICPIN | 0 | Nov,14 | 253 | 2949 | 245.75 | 112.29% | |
Expected AICPIN for Dec 2014 – Expected DA/DR is constant to 113% from -4 point decline to 9 point increase | 0 | Dec,14 | 253 | 2963 | 246.92 | 113.30% | |
2 | Dec,14 | 255 | 2965 | 247.08 | 113.44% | 113% | |
8 | Dec,14 | 261 | 2971 | 247.58 | 113.88% | 113% | |
9 | Dec,14 | 262 | 2972 | 247.67 | 113.95% | 113% | |
10 | Dec,14 | 263 | 2973 | 247.75 | 114.02% | 114% | |
-2 | Dec,14 | 251 | 2961 | 246.75 | 113.16% | 113% | |
-4 | Dec,14 | 249 | 2959 | 246.58 | 113.01% | 113% | |
-5 | Dec,14 | 248 | 2958 | 246.50 | 112.94% | 112% | |
Hence expected DA/DR from Jan, 2015 is 113% |
Press Release for CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter – NOVEMBER 2014
No. 5/1/2014- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: the 3lst December, 2014
Press Release
Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-1W) – November, 2014
The
All-India CPI-1W for November, 2014 remained stationary at 253 (two
hundred and fifty three). On l-month percentage change, it remained
static between October, 2014 and November, 2014 when compared with the
rise of 0.83 per cent between the same two months a year ago.
The
largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from
Miscellaneous group contributing (+) 0.17 percentage points to the total
change. At item level, Wheat, Rice, Moong Dal, Masur Dal, Arhar Dal,
Eggs (Hen), Goat Meat, Milk (Cow), Onion, Tea (Readymade), Private
Tution Fee, Flower/F lower Garlands, Tailoring Charges, etc. are
responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was
restricted to some extent by Ginger, Chillies green, Vegetable items,
Sugar, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.
The
year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-1W stood at 4.12 per
cent for November, 2014 as compared to 4.98 per cent for the previous
month and 11.47 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous
year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.56 per cent against 4.48
per cent of the previous month and 16.17 per cent during the
corresponding month of the previous year.
At centre
level, Madurai reported an increase of 12 points followed by Chennai
(11 points), Tiruchirapally (7 points), Coonoor (6 points), Salem and
Coimbatore (5 points each) and Bangluru (4 points). Among others, 3
points rise was observed in 3 centres, 2 points in 7 centres and 1 point
in 9 centres. On the contrary, Srinagar recorded a decrease of 6 points
and Ghaziabad (5 points). Among others, 4 points fall was registered in
2 centres, 3 points in 6 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in
19 centres. Rest of the 11 centres’ indices remained stationary.
The
indices of 38 centres are above and other 39 centres’ indices are
below national average. The index of Bhopal centre remained at par with
all-India index.
The next index of CPI-1W for the
month of December, 2014 will be released on Friday, 30 January, 2015.
The same will also be available on the office website www.1abourbureau. gov. in.
(S.S. NEGI)
DIRECTOR
Source: http://labourbureau.nic.in/press_note_eng_nov_2014.pdf
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